2020 Season Fighting Past Picks
October 24, 2020
Justin Gaethje at Khabib Nurmagomedov
Saturday 10/24 04:30 PM Eastern
1.5 units on Justin Gaethje +260 (moneyline) (risk 1.5 to return 5.4) RESULT: LOSS
This is a battle between the two best UFC lightweights in the world. Justin Gaethje is 6-2 in the UFC, winning four in a row. He's a powerful puncher with his last nine victories coming by KO or TKO. He won three straight in the first round before going five rounds in his last bout, a TKO win over Tony Ferguson in May. He is one of the most aggressive fighters in MMA and, despite all that power on display, comes from a wrestling background that will come in handy in a big showdown like this. He's a smart, patient fighter who picks his punching spots and deserves far more respect than the oddsmakers are giving him for this one. 32-year old Khabib Nurmagomedov also has power and has never lost (28-0), including 12-0 in the UFC. However, five of Nurmagomedov's last six fights have gone the distance, and Gaethje has the ability to hang with him and utilize his underappreciated wrestling skills. Gaethje is also a year younger in age, has a one-inch height advantage, and a one-inch reach edge. Back Justin Gaethje to win the fight.