35-year old John Dodson has lost three of his last five bouts, part of a 4-5 UFC run. At five-foot-three, this is a tough matchup for him as he absorbs 3.59 significant strikes per minute. He faces Merab Dvalishvili, who has won four UFC fights in a row, all going the distance. Dvalishvili is six years younger and balanced across the board, averaging 4.01 significant strikes per minute, taking very little damage allowing just 2.12 strikes per minute. And he's a terrific wrestler, averaging 8.67 takedowns per every 15 minutes for a 50% accuracy, plus he stops takedowns at 80%. Dvalishvili is three inches taller, a strong striker and defender, and has a significant reach advantage. Take Merab Dvalishvili to win the fight.