40-year old Alistair Overeem is 3-3 in his last six fights, all in the UFC. Only two of those went the distance, including getting knocked out in the first round by Francis Ngannou. His wrestling skills are decent, but he's never had a submission win in UFC. 10 of his last 11 bouts were decided by KO or TKO, and he's been knocked out 14 times in his career (seven times in the UFC). This one will be decided standing up, as well, as Augusto Sakai is about power. Sakai is 15-1-1 in the MMA (11 KOs) and the #9 contender in the Heavyweight division. Sakai averages a stellar 5.45 significant strikes per minute. He takes some hits, but his overall defense is outstanding, with a 55% striking defense and 83% takedown 'D.' Overeem had to absorb a first-round blitz from Walt Harris in his last fight and was able to hang in there and eventually win with a second-round TKO. However, Harris is 37 years old with not close to the power (2.97 significant strikes, 39% accuracy) that Sakai will bring. Sakai is 11 years younger, unbeaten in UFC action (4-0), and has never been knocked out in his career. Back Augusto Sakai to win the bout.