Nasrat Haqparast (3-2 UFC) is favored but has lost two of his last five fights. He lost his last bout to Drew Dobler, a first-round KO on punches in 70 seconds. He was a 3-to-1 favorite, too, and was stunned in the loss. Haqparast is a standup fighter but faces a talented up-and-coming submission specialist in Alex Munoz. Munoz is well-rounded, a striker with a wrestling and jiu-jitsu background. He is 6-0 and making his UFC debut here. He comes off an impressive unanimous decision win over Troy Lamson that secured him the UFC contract. Munoz also has a top-notch preparation staff, having sparred with high-quality training partners on a daily basis at Team Alpha Male in Texas. He's more than capable of playing defense standing up, then utilizing his wrestling skills to take Haqparast to the canvas. Play Alex Munoz to win the bout.