San Francisco Giants vs Tampa Bay Rays Betting Picks

San Francisco is almost 3,000 miles from home with the worst offense in the league. They're last in runs scored and steals, plus 29th in on-base percentage and 28th in slugging. Starter Tyler Mahle (5.87 ERA) has allowed 50 base runners in 30+ innings. Tampa Bay is on an 8-1 run and is 10-4 at home. The offense is 13th in on-base percentage and third in steals. Steven Matz is holding batters to a .211 average, with the Rays 5-1 in his six starts. Tampa Bay goes for the sweep after outscoring the Giants 8-1 in the first two games. Play Tampa Bay.

San Francisco is last in the majors in scoring, 29th in on-base percentage, 28th in slugging, and last in steals. Starter Landen Roupp (2.55 ERA) is holding batters to a .149 average and has a 0.50 ERA on the road. The bullpen is second in the majors with a 3.14 ERA. San Francisco is on a 7-4 run UNDER the total. Tampa Bay is on a 10-4 run UNDER after shutting out the Giants yesterday, 3-0. The offense ranks 17th in runs scored, 14th in on-base percentage, and 21st in slugging. Starter Griffin Jax has a 3.60 ERA at home, where he's holding batters to a .125 average. Take San Francisco/Tampa Bay UNDER the total.

Batters are hitting .228 off Tampa Bay starter Ryan Pepiot (3.86 ERA), while the bullpen is eighth in ERA (3.66) and the defense is 11th in fielding percentage. The offense is 19th in on-base percentage and 16th in slugging. The Rays are on an 18-13-3 run UNDER the total. They will face a bad San Francisco offense that is 25th in runs scored, 22nd in on-base percentage, 28th in slugging, and 29th in steals. Starter Logan Webb (3.34 ERA) has a 3.01 ERA at home. He has 168 strikeouts in 153+ innings, while the bullpen is second in the majors in ERA (3.30). The Giants are on a 43-30-4 run UNDER the total. Take Tampa Bay/San Francisco UNDER the total. 

Tampa Bay's Adrian Houser (2.84 ERA) will start, while the relief staff is ninth in the majors in ERA (3.68). The team defense is 10th in fielding percentage. The offense is 19th in on-base percentage and 16th in slugging. The Rays are on an 18-12-3 run UNDER the total. They will face a San Francisco offense that is 25th in runs scored, 20th in on-base percentage, 28th in slugging, and 29th in steals. Justin Verlander has allowed one earned run in three of his last four starts, while the bullpen is second in ERA (3.28). The Giants are on a 43-29-4 run UNDER the total. Take Tampa Bay/San Francisco UNDER the total.