Pittsburgh Pirates vs Washington Nationals Point Spread Picks

Nationals vs. Pirates Spread Picks

Get Nationals vs. Pirates point spread picks, expert spread analysis, computer model picks, betting consensus data, matchup breakdowns, key betting angles, and the latest odds insights for today's Nationals vs. Pirates game.

Public Consensus

Who was the public on? 73% of the public money was on Pittsburgh Pirates to win on the moneyline. And, 73% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.

Computer Predictions

My computer prediction for this game was that Pittsburgh would win by a score of 4.8 to 2.8 with Pittsburgh winning on the moneyline and on the runline and the game going UNDER the total.

Premium Picks

This pick was released to clients on April 16, 2026 at 11:19AM ET.

MLB

Washington at Pittsburgh

April 16, 2026

12:35 PM Eastern

Washington's offense is fifth in the majors in runs scored, eighth in on-base percentage, sixth in steals, and fourth in slugging. They've won four of six, cashing as underdogs of +170, +150, +185, and +154. Foster Griffin (1.76 ERA) has been impressive, topping the Phillies (13-2) and Brewers (3-1) as dogs of +145 and +150. Pittsburgh has split its last four, including a 5-4 home loss to Washington as -190 chalk. They're also 3-3 in their last six at home, losing twice as a favorite. Play Washington. 

Final Score

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

E

R

Washington Nationals

0

0

0

0

4

1

2

0

0

1

8

Pittsburgh Pirates

0

0

0

0

4

2

0

0

1

0

7

Public Consensus

Who was the public on? 75% of the public money was on Pittsburgh Pirates to win on the moneyline. And, 90% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.

Computer Predictions

My computer prediction for this game was that Pittsburgh would win by a score of 5.0 to 3.6 with Pittsburgh winning on the moneyline, Washington winning on the runline and the game going UNDER the total.

Premium Picks

This pick was released to clients on April 15, 2026 at 11:46AM ET.

MLB

Washington at Pittsburgh

April 15, 2026

6:40 PM Eastern

Unless Paul Skenes is pitching, the Pirates should never be this high of a favorite, and Skenes is not on the hill today. Instead, this shapes up to be a bullpen game for Pittsburgh. Washington, with its 7-4 road record, is not getting enough respect here. The Nationals edged the Pirates, 5-4, yesterday. It was the 10th time in their last 12 games that the Nationals have scored at least five runs. Washington leads the majors in runs scored at 5.8 per game. The Nationals are also fourth in batting average and fifth in homers. Washington shortstop CJ Abrams is emerging as a star. He is second in the NL in batting at .356 and second in RBI's with 19. The Nationals swept three games against the Brewers in Milwaukee during their previous series. Washington is 2-1 in Jake Irvin's three starts this season. Take the Nationals. 

Final Score

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

R

Washington Nationals

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Pittsburgh Pirates

2

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

2

Public Consensus

Who was the public on? 89% of the public money was on Pittsburgh Pirates to win on the moneyline. And, 95% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.

Computer Predictions

My computer prediction for this game was that Pittsburgh would win by a score of 7.0 to 4.1 with Pittsburgh winning on the moneyline and on the runline and the game going OVER the total.

Premium Picks

This pick was released to clients on April 14, 2026 at 11:55AM ET.

MLB

Washington at Pittsburgh

April 14, 2026

6:40 PM Eastern

Excited about Mitch Keller's 1.00 ERA through his first three starts? Don't be. Keller has been nothing but a tease during his eight-year MLB career. His lifetime record is 43-65 with a 4.44 ERA and 1.37 WHIP. Keller is 1-3 with a 4.70 ERA in seven career starts vs. Washington. He is a fade at this high price. Pittsburgh exploded for 16 runs yesterday, but the Pirates were last in the majors in runs scored in 2025. The Nationals have a top-five offense. They rank second in runs, fourth in batting average, and fifth in homers. Miles Mikolas is having a rough go in his first season with Washington. Mikolas could be pitching to hold his spot in the rotation, so there is a great deal of urgency for him here. Mikolas has been solid in his career against the Pirates, going 5-6 with a 2.96 ERA in 25 appearances, including 22 starts. Take the Nationals. 

Final Score

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2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

R

Washington Nationals

3

0

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

5

Pittsburgh Pirates

1

0

0

2

1

0

0

0

0

4

Public Consensus

Who was the public on? 82% of the public money was on Pittsburgh Pirates to win on the moneyline. And, 79% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.

Computer Predictions

My computer prediction for this game was that Pittsburgh would win by a score of 4.7 to 3.7 with Pittsburgh winning on the moneyline, Washington winning on the runline and the game going OVER the total.

Final Score

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

R

Washington Nationals

1

0

0

0

0

0

4

0

0

5

Pittsburgh Pirates

0

4

1

0

0

10

0

1

16

Public Consensus

Who was the public on? 62% of the public money was on Washington Nationals to win on the moneyline. And, 62% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.

Computer Predictions

My computer prediction for this game was that Pittsburgh would win by a score of 0.0 to 0.0, Washington winning on the runline and the game going UNDER the total.

Final Score

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

R

Pittsburgh Pirates

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

4

1

5

Washington Nationals

0

0

0

0

0

1

0

0

0

1