Four of Pittsburgh's five games have been decided by one run. The offense leads the majors in stolen bases (17) and the pitching has been good, ranked 14th in ERA and ninth in strikeouts. Tampa Bay's offense is 18th in runs scored after a 2024 season where it was 29th in slugging, 24th in on-base percentage, and 29th in scoring. They scored 10 runs in three games, all at home, against a bad Colorado staff, including a 2-1 loss as a -185 favorite. They're favored again, although the team is 9-12 in the last 21 starts made by Shane Baz. Play Pittsburgh.
Previous Matchups & Picks
April 2, 2025 1:10pm ET
@
Pittsburgh Pirates
#917
Skenes
Tampa Bay Rays
#918
Pepiot
Lines & Odds
-1.5 (+156)
Runline
+1.5 (-182)
-112
Moneyline
-103
OVER 7 (-115)
Total
UNDER 7 (-105)
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 61% of the public money was on Pittsburgh Pirates to win on the moneyline. And, 70% of the bets were on the game to go UNDER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Tampa Bay would win by a score of 4.4 to 4.1 with Tampa Bay winning on the moneyline and on the runline and the game going OVER the total.
Final Score
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
R
Pittsburgh Pirates 
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
4
Tampa Bay Rays
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
MLB Premium Pick Results
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Free Picks last 10.2 months
Wins
Losses
Units
62
25
+21.56
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Free Picks this season last 3.0 months
Wins
Losses
Units
46
15
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MLBMLB
All Playoff Picks last 12.0 years
Wins
Losses
Units
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178
+7.58
MLBMLB
All Picks this season last 13 days
Wins
Losses
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35
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Max Plays this season last 16 days
Wins
Losses
Units
31
26
+1.49
April 1, 2025 7:05pm ET
@
Pittsburgh Pirates
#963
Harrington
Tampa Bay Rays
#964
Baz
Lines & Odds
+1.5 (-148)
Runline
-1.5 (+126)
+141
Moneyline
-164
OVER 9 (-103)
Total
UNDER 9 (-114)
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 75% of the public money was on Tampa Bay Rays to win on the moneyline. And, 65% of the bets were on the game to go UNDER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Pittsburgh would win by a score of 4.7 to 3.7 with Pittsburgh winning on the moneyline and on the runline and the game going UNDER the total.
Premium Picks
This pick was released to clients on April 01, 2025 at 7:22AM ET.
MLB
Pittsburgh at Tampa Bay
April 1, 2025
7:05 PM Eastern
Final Score
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
R
Pittsburgh Pirates
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Tampa Bay Rays
3
0
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
7
March 31, 2025 7:05pm ET
@
Pittsburgh Pirates
#917
Mlodzinski
Tampa Bay Rays
#918
Rasmussen
Lines & Odds
+1.5 (-131)
Runline
-1.5 (+111)
+155
Moneyline
-181
OVER 8 (-116)
Total
UNDER 8 (-101)
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 71% of the public money was on Tampa Bay Rays to win on the moneyline. And, 63% of the bets were on the game to go UNDER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Tampa Bay would win by a score of 4.9 to 4.1 with Tampa Bay winning on the moneyline, Pittsburgh winning on the runline and the game going OVER the total.
Premium Picks
This pick was released to clients on March 31, 2025 at 9:38AM ET.
MLB
Pittsburgh at Tampa Bay
March 31, 2025
7:05 PM Eastern
Pittsburgh has played four one-run games to open the season. The pitching was expected to be very good and ranked 11th in ERA (3.22). Another promising young arm takes the mound in Carmen Mlodzinski. Last year, he had a 3.38 ERA while holding batters to a .223 average. Last season, Tampa Bay's offense was 29th in slugging, 24th in on-base percentage, and 29th in scoring. They've scored just 10 runs in three games, all at home, against a bad Colorado staff. That included a 2-1 loss as a -185 favorite. Starter Drew Rasmussen had a 4.38 ERA with the Rays at home in 2024, so back the visitors. Play Pittsburgh.
Final Score
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
R
Pittsburgh Pirates
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
Tampa Bay Rays
0
0
0
4
0
1
0
1
0
6
March 19, 2025 1:05pm ET
@
Pittsburgh Pirates
#929
Tampa Bay Rays
#930
Lines & Odds
+1.5 (-158)
Runline
-1.5 (+135)
+123
Moneyline
-145
OVER 9 (-105)
Total
UNDER 9 (-115)
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Pittsburgh would win by a score of 0.0 to 0.0, Pittsburgh winning on the runline and the game going UNDER the total.
Final Score
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
R
Pittsburgh Pirates
0
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
Tampa Bay Rays
0
3
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
5
June 23, 2024 1:35pm ET
@
Tampa Bay Rays
#973
Civale
Pittsburgh Pirates
#974
Skenes
Lines & Odds
+1.5 (-148)
Runline
-1.5 (+128)
+143
Moneyline
-161
OVER 7.5 (-120)
Total
UNDER 7.5 (-101)
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 75% of the public money was on Pittsburgh Pirates to win on the moneyline. And, 59% of the bets were on the game to go UNDER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Pittsburgh would win by a score of 4.3 to 4.2 with Pittsburgh winning on the moneyline, Tampa Bay winning on the runline and the game going OVER the total.
Premium Picks
This pick was released to clients on June 23, 2024 at 11:56AM ET.
MLB
Tampa Bay at Pittsburgh
June 23, 2024
1:35 PM Eastern
Pittsburgh has gone UNDER 11 of 14 games, including Saturday's 4-3 win over the Rays when each team had only five hits. The Pirates have averaged only 2.6 runs their past five games and they are 8-1 UNDER versus right-handed starters. Also, Pittsburgh is 5-1 UNDER its past six games against teams with losing records. Paul Skenes is 4-0 and the rookie sensation has a 2.29 ERA and a 0.99 WHIP. He has not allowed more than three runs in any of his seven starts. Pittsburgh batters are a combined 16-for-58 with three homers against Aaron Civale. Take the UNDER as a Max Play.
Final Score
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
R
Tampa Bay Rays
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
3
Pittsburgh Pirates
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
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