2008 Season MLB Baseball Past Picks
July 23, 2008
Washington at San Francisco
Wednesday 07/23 10:15 PM Eastern
2 units on San Francisco -1.5 runs +175 (runline) (risk 2 to return 2) RESULT: WIN
The Nats have been just 14-30 over their last 44 games and have never experienced success on the road. Collin Balester makes his fourth big-league start, and has taken his lumps in the last two, allowing nine runs in 10.1 innings of work. He hasn't been able to get deep in games, and that exposes the Nats’ serious weakness - the middle-inning bullpen relievers who have coughed up an additional eight runs in his three previous starts. So does it pay to be on the home team with a pitcher on the mound that has a WHIP of 1.55-1.65, and one that got rocked for 7+ runs in his last outing? The answer is a resounding yes. Teams in the Giants’ situation have been 52-26 to the -1.5 runline last 78 games for +35.5 units. The value is on San Fran against the runline.