Washington at San Diego

Nick Pivetta is San Diego's starter tonight after spending time on the 60-day injured list. Washington counters with Jake Irvin, who's taken his lumps in 2026, a 2-8 record and a 5.57 ERA that line up with a Nationals staff carrying a 4.72 team ERA overall. In three of his last five turns, Irvin hasn't made it through the fifth inning, which means Washington's bullpen is doing more work than a team with this pitching depth can really afford. Washington's offense hasn't been the issue, averaging north of five runs a game, but the pitching keeps handing those runs right back, and a lineup that scores keeps a total like this one moving. San Diego's staff has been the steadier of the two by ERA, but a bullpen game strips away the length a real starter usually provides, and against a Washington lineup that keeps finding the scoreboard, that's exactly the spot where a total gets away from the number. Two offenses that combine to average better than nine runs a game, and neither side trots out a reliable frontline arm tonight. Take the OVER tonight, and I don't see either pitching staff slowing this one down.