Washington at Pittsburgh

Excited about Mitch Keller's 1.00 ERA through his first three starts? Don't be. Keller has been nothing but a tease during his eight-year MLB career. His lifetime record is 43-65 with a 4.44 ERA and 1.37 WHIP. Keller is 1-3 with a 4.70 ERA in seven career starts vs. Washington. He is a fade at this high price. Pittsburgh exploded for 16 runs yesterday, but the Pirates were last in the majors in runs scored in 2025. The Nationals have a top-five offense. They rank second in runs, fourth in batting average, and fifth in homers. Miles Mikolas is having a rough go in his first season with Washington. Mikolas could be pitching to hold his spot in the rotation, so there is a great deal of urgency for him here. Mikolas has been solid in his career against the Pirates, going 5-6 with a 2.96 ERA in 25 appearances, including 22 starts. Take the Nationals.