Washington at Philadelphia

Seven straight losses have buried Washington under a lopsided price tonight, and the market isn't pricing in how bad Andrew Painter has been. Philadelphia's rookie right-hander is 1-8 with a 6.72 ERA this season; opponents are hitting .304 off him, and those numbers don't belong on a favorite at this price. The Phillies made it look easy again last night, riding eight scoreless innings from Jesús Luzardo to a 5-0 win that pushed the Nationals' skid to seven. Jake Irvin takes the ball for Washington in his second start back from a shoulder injury, and his own 2-5 record with a 5.56 ERA is nothing to lean on either. This isn't a bet on Irvin outdueling anybody. It's a bet that Painter, who has allowed multiple runs in most of his starts and is averaging eleven hits per nine innings, keeps giving a mispriced favorite away. A rookie that hittable doesn't hold up against a lineup capable of stringing something together early. Washington is the right side tonight.