Washington at Cincinnati

Washington is 43-50 as an underdog of +150 or higher, as well as 29-34 on the road as a dog of +150 or more. Starter Patrick Corbin is 20-9 on the road against the NL Central. His teams are also 9-5 when he starts versus Cincinnati. Cincinnati starter Hunter Greene is favored but has a 4.62 for this career and a 9-20 record. He allows too many free passes (96 walks in 237+ innings) and comes off a 2023 campaign with a 4.82 ERA. The Reds won the opener but had a losing home mark last year and are 85-101 at home after a win by six or more runs. Play Washington.