Washington at Cincinnati

Washington may have rolled up 10 runs yesterday, but this team is still ranked No. 16 in runs scored. Washington is 58-41 UNDER the total after allowing eight runs or more, plus 10-4 UNDER versus a team with a winning percentage below .400. Cincinnati has its best arm going in Luis Castillo (3.38 ERA), and batters are hitting just .196 off of him. The Reds are 86-66 UNDER the total in day games, 28-15 UNDER against an NL starting pitcher with an ERA of 5.40 or higher, and 45-27 UNDER versus the NL East. Take the UNDER.