Washington at Cincinnati

The hype behind Stephen Strasburg forces the hand of the oddsmakers to make the Nats, who are 15-32 on this season on the road, the favorite here. Looking at the numbers, Strasburg sure has delivered as he carries a 2.03 ERA into this one. The problem is in three of his starts the Nats have tallied a total of one run. Bronson Arroyo has actually out pitched Strasburg in his last three starts with a 1.29 ERA. The Reds have a 10-3 mark in Arroyo's last 13 starts. The Nats just 20-38 in their last 58 games after a quick start and just 4-18 in their last 22 on the road. Arroyo can match Strasburg and the rest of the Reds are much better and at home. I'll go with Cincinnati here.