Toronto at Tampa Bay

This gets to sound like a broken record, but the Rays, even last year when they went to the World Series had a losing record on the road and the situation hasn't changed, if anything it has gotten worse. Such hasn't been the case for a longtime at home where the Rays own the best record in baseball for almost a full season of home games. The Rays, with their win last night raised that home record to 102-46 over their last 148 played in Tampa. They also raised the mark to 51-12 when favored on a moneyline from -151 to -200. The Jays are now 3-13 in their last 16 vs. a right-hand starter. Romero has not been able to win inside the division as the Jay's are now 0-7 in his last seven starts. The Jays have struggled in this strong division anyway, with a 16-41 mark over their last 57. Too much home dominance to pass by here. I'll take the Rays in this one.