Toronto at Tampa Bay

Having played about 20% of the season, there are some unsustainable early-season variances. One of them is Tampa Bay pitcher Nick Martinez. He is 2-1 with a 1.70 ERA and 1.00 WHIP. Martinez is not some breakout candidate. This is his ninth season in the big leagues. He has a career record of 50-60 with a 4.06 ERA and 1.29 WHIP. Regression could strike him at any time, such as now. Martinez is 1-2 with a 6.66 ERA lifetime mark vs. Toronto. Blue Jays starter Eric Lauer, on the flip side, is 1-3 with a 6.00 ERA and 1.52 ratio. He is expected to improve on those numbers, with a lifetime record of 46-42, a 4.20 ERA, and a 1.33 WHIP. Tampa Bay's bullpen, already thin due to injuries, carries a high fatigue rating. The Rays not only have to be careful with Vladimir Guerrero Jr., who is tied for third in the American League in batting at .333, but also with a hot Kazuma Okamoto. He has seven HRs and 18 RBIs in his last 15 games. Take the Blue Jays.