Toronto at San Diego

Toronto opened this series with a statement, homering multiple times and riding Kazuma Okamoto's big night to a win in San Diego on Friday, and the pitching matchup tonight tilts even further in the Blue Jays' favor. Trey Yesavage has been one of the better stories in that rotation this year, sitting at 4-4 with a 3.31 ERA, while Walker Buehler has come completely unglued lately: after a strong June where he ran a 1.71 ERA across five starts, he's been rocked for 10 runs over his last two outings combined. That's not a one-start blip; that's a pitcher who's lost the plate. Toronto doesn't need to be the better team over nine innings tonight, it just needs not to get run over by two, and with Yesavage on the mound against a Padres lineup that's been middling all year and Buehler trending the wrong direction fast, that's about as safe a number as this game offers. Sharp money has already followed Toronto here today, on both the moneyline and the spread. Take Toronto with the extra run-and-a-half tonight.