Toronto at New York

Toronto's talented offense has scored 57 runs in the last seven games. They've chewed up New York's pitching in this series, averaging 9.6 runs in three games. The offense was fourth in scoring during the regular season and No. 1 in on-base percentage. But the pitching is a concern for this game. Starter Louis Varland has a 4.02 ERA on the road this season, with the home teams hitting .303 off him, while the bullpen ranks 16th in ERA (3.98). New York's offense busted out for nine runs in the last game and ranks No. 1 in runs scored and slugging, plus third in on-base percentage. The OVER is 8-4-1 in the last 13 meetings between these division rivals. Take Toronto/New York OVER the total.