Toronto at Detroit

Toronto plays its fourth straight road game on a 4-6 slide. The offense is 28th in runs scored and 20th in slugging, while the pitching is 20th in ERA (4.19) and 27th in the bullpen (4.70 ERA). The Blue Jays are 6-15 after playing two or more straight road contests. Detroit is 2-1 on this six-game homestand, topping Toronto in the last two games, 6-2 and 2-1. The pitching staff is ninth in the majors in ERA (3.63) and starter Casey Mize has a 2.74 ERA at home. The Tigers are 92-82 versus losing teams, 11-4 against an AL starting pitcher with a 2.90 ERA or better, plus 39-26 against an AL starter with a WHIP of 1.300 or better. Play Detroit.