Toronto at Chicago

Toronto's 54-61 record doesn't lie about the kind of season the Blue Jays have had, but Dylan Cease has been the exception, with his 2.41 ERA and 174 strikeouts that stand out on a rotation without much else working. Chicago counters with David Peterson, a 5.52 ERA and control problems that have let free baserunners pile up all season. The Cubs enter red-hot, having just swept the Dodgers and won four of their last five to sit atop the NL wild-card race, and this lineup won't see many arms sharper than Cease's the rest of the way. We backed Toronto's plus price three nights ago in Houston, and it delivered, a 3-1 win built on the same pitching mismatch this game presents. Cease should keep Chicago's lineup honest deep into the afternoon, and that's enough to make the Blue Jays worth backing on the road. Toronto is the right side today.