Toronto at Boston

Jon Lackey has sure had his issues this season pitching to a 6.30 ERA. Despite that, he is a 12 game winner because Boston can out-hit his mistakes. Sox bats came to life last night producing 18 runs, and won despite giving up 6 runs. Lackey thrives in expected close games as he's 23-10 at home with a line of +125 to -125. The Jays have struggled in the AL East and can't seem to get over the hump and a stacked division. It has shown in their quality of play as a dog, or lack thereof, as they are 1-8 in their last nine games posted as an underdog, including 1-4 with Romero on the hill as a road dog. Toronto is just 3-9 at Fenway behind Romero and 1-6 in their last seven here overall. Boston is now 7-2 in their last nine with Lackey on the mound following a game where the opponent scored 5+ against them. The Red Sox are also a sick 42-16 the past three seasons at home when the total is set at 10 or higher. Boston in this one.