Toronto at Boston

Toronto is on a 9-3-1 run UNDER the total. The pitching staff is 13th in team ERA, ninth in WHIP, sixth in strikeouts, seventh with the fewest walks allowed, plus 12th in fielding percentage. Starter Alek Manoah has a 2.60 ERA on the road holding batters to a .190 average. Last year, he had a 2.07 ERA on the road holding hitters to a .213 average. In 2022, he was 3-0 versus the Red Sox with a 1.04 ERA and Toronto is 15-4 UNDER the total when Manoah starts on the road. Boston's bullpen has been far better than expected ranked 11th in ERA (3.56). One year ago this week, Manoah beat the Red Sox, 1-0, and this total is too high. Take Toronto/Boston UNDER the total.