Toronto at Baltimore

People are underestimating Baltimore again, starting the season 2-1 in Tampa Bay despite being a dog twice and just -110 in the other game. This team is strong and balanced all around, taking the AL East title last summer. The Orioles are 36-16 in their last 52 home games, plus 30-12 following a loss. The Orioles' starters have posted a 2.70 ERA so far, and right-hander Bud Norris is off a fine campaign in 2014 (15-8, 3.65 ERA). The Orioles have a deep pen and are 19-7 in game one of a series. Toronto teed off on the weak Yankees this week, but this is their fourth straight road game and a far better opponent. The Blue Jays are 4-9 against a right-handed starter and 6-18 on grass. They are also 0-5 in Mark Buehrle's last five road starts vs. a team with a winning record, with him 1-5 against the Orioles. Play Baltimore.