Texas at Tampa Bay

Texas averages only 3.40 runs per game compared to 4.34 for Tampa Bay, which is 22-13-3 UNDER at home this season. The Rangers are 16-11-1 UNDER on the road and 41-19 UNDER overall. The Rays are 35-22 UNDER in 2025 and seven of the past nine meetings have gone UNDER. Texas has stayed UNDER 10 of 12 against American League opponents and 11 of 15 overall. Despite a new hitting coach, the Rangers haven't scored more than two runs in five of their past eight games. Tampa Bay is 11-0 UNDER in the second game of a series and the Rangers are 10-1-1 UNDER as road underdogs. The UNDER is 9-1-2 in the Rays' past 12 games as home favorites of -110 to -150. Kumar Rocker faced the Rays once this year and allowed a run on six hits in five innings. Shane Baz has given up four runs his past two starts in 11 1/3 innings. Take the UNDER.