Texas at Boston

We like Kevin Millwood here coming off his worst outing of the season. He gave up four runs in five innings vs. the Angels but still has a 2.42 ERA having allowed just 7 earned runs in 26 innings. He's got a lifetime 4.15 ERA and 1.253 WHIP vs. the Red Sox. He's facing Tim Wakefield who is just 6-9 vs. Texas with a 5.53 ERA. Texas has a .500 record the past three seasons vs. winning teams including an incredible 9-2 mark on the road vs. teams at .620 or better! They also own a 55-48 mark in expected high-scoring games (those with a total of 10+).