Texas at Baltimore

The Rangers dropped their season opener but have rallied back, winning four straight. Texas pitching has allowed fewer than 4.00 runs per game. Baltimore has lost the first two games in this series, yielding 13 runs, and they'll hand the ball to Trevor Rogers today, who pitched seven shutout innings in his season debut, allowing just three hits (5K, 4 BB). Since the start of last season, the Rangers are 22-11 UNDER when facing the AL East. They have also been 42-25 to the UNDER when the total is in this range (8 to 8.5). Baltimore is 30-7 UNDER vs. good power teams averaging 1.25+ HR since the start of last season, and we're getting good value on this number. Make the play on the UNDER.