Texas at Atlanta

The Texas Rangers were a surprise World Series winner last season and finished with a post-season record of 13-4. The Rangers opened the 2024 season with high hopes of a repeat, but are just 11-9 to start 2024. Despite the record things have not changed much. The Rangers pitching allowed 4.37 runs per game a year ago, and are allowing 4.35 runs per game this season, while the offense is still genetaing better than five runs a game. I think the 11-9 record is somewhat misleading. Atlanta is 12-5, but has lost a top starter for the season in Spencer Strider, and Ozzie Albies is currently out as well. Chris Sale has been injured for the better part of the last thre seasons, and so far the Braves are 1-2 in his three appearances. I think there is value on the Rangers here, as the numbers aren't much different than last year. Make the play on Texas.