Tampa Bay at Toronto

The Rays have been the biggest surprise of the season leading the AL East over the Red Sox and Yankees. Most of that success can be attributed to their dominance at home where they are 40-16. The road has presented a completely different story where the Rays are just 21-29. A 71.4% winning team is reduced to a 42% winning team. The Jays meanwhile, have done a good job all season at home winning 58% of their games at 29-21. James Shields is no different. The Rays are 11-1 when he takes the mound at home, but just 3-6 on the road. AJ Burnett has been outstanding of late pitching to a stellar 1.77 ERA over his last three starts. We like the Jays to take the opener at home.