Tampa Bay at Toronto

Tampa Bay has been getting it done with pitching and defense, riding a 9-3-1 run UNDER the total. Tonight we have a pair of talented, young arms are on the hill. Ricky Romero is 4-3 when starting against the light-hitting Rays with an ERA of 3.31 and a WHIP of 1.068. The Jays are also 5-3 UNDER the total in those eight games. Romero has been on a red-hot roll, with a 2-0 record and a sizzling 1.64 ERA his last three starts. He has faced the Rays for 22 innings this season and has a 1.64 ERA against them, fanning 23 with 7 walks and only 9 hits allowed, so he has this team’s number. At least the Rays can counter with a strong arm of their own in Wade Davis, who has a 2.82 ERA his last three starts, averaging 7+ innings. For his career he has a 2.93 ERA against Toronto as well. I can’t see many runs being scored in this pitcher’s duel. Play the UNDER. In addition, the Rays are the dog here but offer great value. Tampa Bay is 8-2 in the last 10 starts made by Wade Davis, allowing 3 runs or less in seven of those starts. Tampa Bay is 25-14 (+12.2 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season, and 43-19 when playing against a team with a losing record. The Rays have really owned this series because of their pitching and defensive edges, going 10-4 (+5.6 Units) against the Blue Jays this season. Play Tampa Bay.