Tampa Bay at San Diego

San Diego lost just its second home game of the season to fall to 12-2 at Petco Park, but the Padres will get an opportunity to bounce back against the Rays and Ryan Pepiot, who allowed seven runs on 10 hits in nine innings against them in 2024. Tampa Bay has lost three of Pepiot's five starts this season. Dylan Cease had one bad outing against the Athletics, but the Padres have won his other four starts, including 3-2 over Houston on Sunday when he allowed two runs on six hits in five innings. San Diego is 4-0 in Cease's past four starts after scoring two or fewer runs in their previous game. The Rays have lost Pepiot's past four starts as underdogs, and they have stayed UNDER in his five appearances. The UNDER is 6-0 in San Diego's past six games following a loss and is on a current 7-2 UNDER run. Take the Padres and the UNDER.