Tampa Bay at New York

Tampa Bay already has the AL East locked up, but nothing about this roster looks like it's coasting: they've won eight of their last ten games and are riding a two-game streak into this afternoon's opener. That's a better record and hotter form than a Yankees club still jockeying for second place, and Tampa Bay catching plus money on the road anyway. Nick Martinez is the reason that gap should hold up. He's climbed to 15 wins, tied for third-most in the league, with a 2.94 ERA and at least six innings in three of his last five turns. Carlos Rodon's ERA is nearly identical at 2.95, but he hasn't finished the seventh inning in any of those same five outings, and New York enters on a two-game skid of its own. I had Tampa Bay as my Game of the Week last week and cashed it at two units, and nothing about this afternoon's mound matchup changes that read. Take the Rays this afternoon.