This pick was released to clients on July 04, 2025 at 10:20AM ET.
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Tampa Bay at Minnesota

July 4, 2025
img4:10 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Tampa Bay is on a 4-2 run UNDER the total on the road. Zack Littell (3.61 ERA) has thrown well and shut down Minnesota last month, allowing one run in six-plus innings. The offense is seventh in runs scored, ninth in on-base percentage, eighth in slugging, and No. 1 in steals. The bullpen ranks 13th in ERA (3.75), while the team's defense is 11th in fielding percentage. While Tampa Bay had yesterday off, Minnesota played on Thursday. The Twins are home from a six-game road trip, losing yesterday in Miami as a favorite, 4-1. Minnesota's offense is 21st in runs scored, 22nd in on-base percentage, 20th in slugging, and 27th in steals. Starter Chris Paddack has a 3.58 ERA at home. With Minnesota on a 5-15 slide, the visitors are back in a low-scoring affair. Play Tampa Bay + UNDER the total. 

2 units on Tampa Bay +101 (moneyline) (risk 2 to return 4.02)
Result:
LOSS
2 units on Game Total UNDER 10 -115 (risk 2 to return 3.74)
Result:
WIN
FINAL
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Minnesota Twins img
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