Tampa Bay at Milwaukee

Milwaukee opens its first World Series since 1982 with the best record in baseball, 103-59, and the best run differential, plus 214. The Brewers scored the second-most runs in the majors, 832, and posted the second-best team ERA, 3.51. They are 55-26 at home. Jacob Misiorowski takes the ball with 11 days of rest. He led the majors with a 1.80 ERA, 252 strikeouts and a 0.80 WHIP over 174.2 innings, and he held hitters to a .157 average, the lowest for a full season on record. He did not finish the fifth inning in either of his first two postseason starts, which puts the bullpen with the second-best ERA in the league to work early. Nick Martinez is 36 and went 15-6 with a 3.10 ERA. Tampa Bay is 24-9 in games he starts, playoffs included, and his road ERA was better than that season figure. The Rays won 98 games, and there is an eight-win gap between that record and their run differential. Milwaukee is the team that earned its record on the scoreboard, and it gets a rested ace in Game 1. With the best run differential in baseball behind Misiorowski, I'm laying the runline with Milwaukee tonight.