Tampa Bay at Miami

Tampa Bay dropped four of five heading in, including getting swept out of Detroit, which explains why a 36-23 team is priced around a coin flip to beat a Marlins club sitting at 29-34. The reasoning flips when you look at the mound. Drew Rasmussen is 4-2 with a 3.36 ERA and has been particularly dominant against this opponent in his career: 3-0 with a 2.30 ERA in his appearances against Miami. On the other side, Ryan Gusto has produced a 9.00 ERA in three major league innings — a sample so thin this is functionally a bullpen game with a placeholder on top. The Rays' recent skid is real, but it's not Rasmussen's doing. Back the Rays to get right tonight.