Tampa Bay at Los Angeles

Drew Rasmussen has not allowed a run in his last two outings, combining for 14 innings against two different lineups and punching out 13 in his last start alone. His 0.88 WHIP is among the best in the American League, and the Rays don't need him to be perfect tonight — just good enough. Justin Wrobleski took a comebacker off his hamstring last Thursday and is starting on four days' rest, the second time all season the Dodgers have put a starter out on that schedule. The Dodgers are the better team, and they'll win more nights than not at home, but the data backs what the box score suggests: they cover the runline in fewer than half their home games this year. Rasmussen keeps this within reach, and the Rays stay close enough. Tampa Bay wins on the runline tonight.