Tampa Bay at Kansas City

The Rays are 5-0 thus far this season vs. the Royals. I like them to make it 6-0 today. Kansas City averages just 3.9 runs per game compared to 5.4 for Tampa Bay. The Rays excel vs. RHP (.355 OBP and 5.6 RPG). They have the starting pitching advantage and a huge bullpen advantage (3.47 ERA vs. 4.72), which has been the story in this series thus far. Matt Garza enters this game with a 3.73 ERA and that's bad news for the Royals. Over the past three seasons, KC is just 19-41 at home vs. a team with a starter whose ERA is 4.00 or less. Tampa Bay is 72-31 the past two seasons as a favorite of -125 to -175. The Royals are 9-33 this season following a loss. Tampa gets the call here.