Tampa Bay at Cleveland

Monday’s Game 1 finished 7-3 for Cleveland and cost me the UNDER, with five of those seven runs coming in the eighth and ninth innings. Tuesday’s Game 2 went to Tampa Bay 3-1, with Freddy Peralta throwing six scoreless innings and Cleveland’s relievers covering the last three innings without allowing a run. Gavin Williams starts Game 3 for Cleveland after striking out 23 in 10 2/3 innings across his two Division Series starts, allowing two earned runs. He finished the regular season with 248 strikeouts in 184 1/3 innings. Griffin Jax has allowed one earned run in his last four regular-season starts, 18 innings in all, and struck out 116 in 112 1/3 innings this season. Cleveland ranked 24th in runs and 26th in OPS this season. Tampa Bay’s pitching staff finished seventh in ERA, and Cleveland’s finished eighth, with the Guardians’ bullpen sixth in the league at 3.54. I'm backing the UNDER.