2008 Season MLB Baseball Past Picks
October 13, 2008
Tampa Bay at Boston
Monday 10/13 04:37 PM Eastern
3 units on Game Total UNDER 8.5 -110 (risk 3 to return 3) RESULT: loss
3 units on Boston -110 (moneyline) (risk 3 to return 3) RESULT: loss
The Tampa Bay Rays will head to Boston with the series tied at one game apiece. The Red Sox will send Jon Lester to the mound who has been money at Fenway this season as he is 11-1 with a 2.49 ERA. Overall the Sox are 17-4 in his 21 home starts. This is a crucial game in the series and Lester has completed seven innings in 70% of his last 20 starts. We could also see Jonathon Papelbon for a two-inning save, and he has yet to allow a run in the postseason ever. The Rays have been 5-10 this season behind Matt Garza on the road, so I like the Sox here to take the lead in the series. I also like the prospects of the UNDER here, as the combination of Lester and Papelbon could shutout the Rays. Plus the fact that this game is starting in the late afternoon, with the shadows and twilight for the first two hours or so of the game will make it difficult on hitters.