Tampa Bay at Baltimore

Hard to even think about Tampa Bay as a favorite on the road no matter who they are playing. They have the worst road record over the past five years in baseball. Jamie Shields has pitched well, but the Rays are no better on the road with him on the hill as they are overall. They have a road record of 8-17 when he takes to the rubber on the road. Guthrie managed just seven wins last season, but three of them came at the expense of the Rays. Tampa managed just 20 road wins last season without Kazmir on the mound. We like the O's to win their opener at home.