Tampa Bay at Baltimore

This one seems easy for the Rays. They have scored 29 runs in the first three games, outscoring the O's by 19 runs, but lost in that is that Baltimore actually won one game and can take the series with a win here. The Rays score a lot, but not really in day games where they average just 4.1 per game. So if they are susceptible in a spot, it's here. Ryne Stanek has pitched very well (2.08 ERA), but he is isn't supposed to see most of the action. Ryan Yarbrough will likely see more, and he's got a mediocre 4.55 ERA on the season. Baltimore goes with Tom Eshelman, who has a 3.60 ERA on the season. Back to the high-scoring affairs earlier in this series. The Rays are just 2-10 on the road the past three seasons after a game in which they scored double-digits. That includes a loss in game two of this series. Look for Baltimore to pull the surprise here, too. Play Baltimore.