St. Louis at Pittsburgh

Despite winning three in a row, St. Louis is on an 8-9 run and plays its 11th straight game away from home in this one. St. Louis starter Jack Flaherty (5.52 ERA) has not been sharp and has been terrible on the road with a 15.95 ERA as hometown batters are hitting over .370 off him. Flaherty is also 4-10 versus teams that average 2.75 or fewer extra-base hits per game. Pittsburgh is home for the fifth straight game and is 22-14 against teams with a slugging percentage .400 or worse, so back the home dog in the series finale. Play Pittsburgh.