St. Louis at Pittsburgh

The Pittsburgh Pirates have a few good pitchers, but their offense is so bad that a lot of good starts get wasted. Mitch Keller should have a better record this year, but stands at 3-8 with a 3.89 ERA. The Pirates are 22-9 to the UNDER when they face an NL team that has a slugging percentage of .400 or less. The Cards are four games out in the NL Central, and 23-16 UNDER this year in day games, including 12-7 UNDER with early starts on the road. They're leaning on their ace to salvage a win from this series, and Sonny Gray is off solid performance vs. the Guardians where he struck out 11, earning a complete-game shutout. Take St. Louis to win, and bet the Cardinals/Pirates UNDER.