St. Louis at Milwaukee

St. Louis is five games under .500 and 23 games back in a division Milwaukee wrapped up on September 15. The records say this shouldn't be competitive, and the price reflects that. But the Brewers have been playing out the schedule ever since clinching, while the stakes left on it now belong to the team chasing. Robert Gasser gets the ball for Milwaukee off a strong final turn, seven scoreless innings his last time out, and Michael McGreevy has quietly matched him for St. Louis: a 3.84 ERA that's actually the tighter number of the two, buried under a 7-9 record because the Cardinals' offense hasn't backed him all season. Two comparable arms take the mound tonight, and this price still reflects six months of Milwaukee pulling away in the standings, not tonight's specific matchup. That gap is where the value sits. Take the Cardinals on the moneyline tonight.