St. Louis at Milwaukee

The Milwaukee Brewers came out of the gate roaring to a 20-7 start to the 2014 season, and that has made their overall record look appealing at 52-41. The reality is that since the big start, this Milwaukee team have been two games under .500. They are playing their worst baseball of the season, with just one win in their last 10 games, and have been outscored 54-25 in the process. The offense has gone in the tank, a bad recipe against a St. Louis team that has allowed 3 runs or fewer in 22 of their last 34 games, along with seven shutouts. Kelly has been a true stopper as the Cardinals are 9-1 when he gets the ball in his last 10, following a game where their previous opponent scored 5+ runs. The Brewers are just 3-13 behind Gallardo against St. Louis, and that includes 0-7 in his last seven starts at home against them. Go with St. Louis.