St. Louis at Los Angeles

We had the Cardinals in this exact runline spot Sunday in Arizona, and the bullpen made it interesting: a five-run cushion turned into a blown seven-run lead and a walk-off loss in extra innings, but the number held and we cashed anyway. That's the case for backing this club right now, not against it. Kyle Leahy takes the ball tonight in Anaheim with a 3.73 ERA this season, and he draws an Angels team sitting 19 games under .500 at 36-55. José Soriano has a respectable ERA of his own for Los Angeles, but he's working with a lineup that simply hasn't shown it can keep games within a run or two against a club playing clearly better baseball right now. Sharp money has already piled onto St. Louis laying the runline tonight, even with the plus price attached. My model likes the Cardinals to pull away here rather than sneak by. Back St. Louis on the runline tonight.