Seattle at San Diego

The Pads have now lost eleven of twelve games including seven straight and we think it goes to eight this afternoon. Yes, Jake Peavy goes for San Diego and he's been good again this year. But thanks to lack of run support he's barely over .500. Erik Bedard can hang with him, given this Padres offense. Bedard has been pitching very well (1.93 ERA over his last three starts). San Diego gets just 3.6 runs per game at home and 3.4 per game vs. LHP. Over their past seven games, this team is averaged a ridiculous 2.7 runs per game (compared to 4.9 for Seattle)! Seattle has fared well this season vs. low-octane offenses as they are 9-4 vs. teams that hit under one home run per game. San Diego is just 11-16 this season as a home favorite and 3-14 in inter-league games. We'll take the M's here.