Seattle at Philadelphia

Seattle has won six of 10 anchored by a pitching staff that is 10th in ERA (3.73) and seventh in the bullpen (3.15 ERA). Starter Logan Gilbert (3.57 ERA) has a 28-4 strikeout-to-walk ratio in 22+ innings holding batters to a .224 average. The Mariners are 38-20 as a favorite of -150 or less, including 18-6 on the road. Seattle is also 45-22 against losing teams and 23-8 in interleague road games versus losing squads. Philadelphia is short on pitching, 27th in the league in team ERA (4.82), and 25th in the bullpen (5.27 ERA), while the offense is 15th in runs scored. The team is 1-3 in the four starts made by Bailey Falter (4.50 ERA), who had a 5.49 ERA at home last year. With the Phillies 6-12 at home after allowing four or fewer runs in three consecutive contests, back the visitors. Play Seattle.