Seattle at Los Angeles

Jared Weaver is 10-4, but six of those wins came to open the season. Since then he is 4-4. Doug Fister doesn't have Weaver's record, but his ERA is solid at 3.02. He's allowed 3 runs or less in 12 of his 17 starts and in his last three starts, he's gone 8.3 innings per game, allowing just 1 run per outing. So we have a very capable starter, backed up by an excellent bullpen (3.35 ERA) and we have a slight offensive edge with Seattle (3.5 runs per game on the road vs. 3.3 per game at home for the Angels). At these odds, I like Seattle. The Mariners have thrived against low-power teams like LA. Seattle is 25-15 this season vs. teams that average fewer than 1 home run per game. The Angels meanwhile have not been able to get it done vs. weak offensive teams. They are 19-28 this season vs. AL teams averaging less than 4.7 runs per game, and 6-14 at home vs. AL teams batting .255 or worse. Seattle has brought home the bacon in expected low-scoring games. This season they are 33-20 in games with a total set at 7 or lower. That includes a 9-1 mark on the road. Take the M's here.