This Pro Pick was released to clients on October 07, 2025 at 11:18AM ET.
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Seattle at Detroit

October 7, 2025
img4:08 PM Eastern

The Tigers lost 13 of their last 16 regular-season games, but they regrouped at the right time, taking out the Guardians in three games and splitting two games against the Mariners in Seattle. Now they are home as underdogs in a pitching matchup of Logan Gilbert versus Jack Flaherty. The pressure is on the favored Mariners, who last played a road playoff game in 2022. Seattle is 1-4 in its last five games. Gilbert has a 2.24 ERA and a 0.76 WHIP at home this season. However, those numbers rise to 4.74 and 1.32 on the road. He is 1-2 with a 3.28 ERA in five games against Detroit. Flaherty gave up three hits and one run in 4 2/3 innings in a 6-3 win against the Guardians five days ago. He is 2-0 with a 4.22 ERA in four games against Seattle. The Mariners are averaging 2.5 runs per game in their two playoff games against Detroit with a .200 batting average and .233 on-base percentage. Their offense can't be trusted at Comerica Park. Take the Tigers. 

1 unit on Detroit +121 (moneyline) (risk 1 to return 2.21)
Result:
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Detroit Tigers
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consensus consensus
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