Seattle at Boston

The Mariners have never swept Boston at Fenway. Don't expect that to change here. Although they wouldn't admit it, Seattle knows deep down that they don't need to show up here as they have already exceeded their goals for this nine-game road trip, winning five of their first eight. The Red Sox haven't been swept at home all season and they have a lot of reason to show up here. Their lead over the Yankees is now down to one game. So, we have the motivation. We also have the talent. John Lesters has pitched to a 4.35 overall ERA but over his last three games he's been stellar, allowing just five runs and two walks along with 18 strikeouts in his last three starts. Despite laying a 1.5 runline in most home games this year, the Sox have a winning record. They average 5.6 runs per game here, compared to 4.0 for Seattle on the road. In day games, the Mariners have scored just 3.5 per game this season. Over the past twelve years, the Red Sox are 40-19 vs. the runline as a -200 or greater home favorite when playing with revenge. I like the Sox to blow it out here.